The benefit of the Covid shot will drop over time, especially with Omicron (and future even weaker variants).
The risk of the Covid shot will likely remain stable unless the shot's ingredients are changed, even if that risk is never known. At some point, those non-parallel lines have to cross, if they haven't already, and the risks will outweigh the benefits.
"The risk of the Covid shot will likely remain stable unless the shot's ingredients are changed, even if that risk is never known."
ReplyDeleteNot necessarily true, for at least two reasons:
1) There is no such thing as "the Covid shot." There are SEVERAL "Covid shots," with different ingredients and different operating mechanisms. Presumably people will gravitate toward the less risky products if, and as, they can find out which products ARE less risky.
2) If there's a genetic component to severe risk from Covid vaccination, uptake in the groups with genetics that increase the risk will become progressively less represented in the population getting the shots. Some will die, which obviously removes them from that population. Others will be related to a higher number of people who die or have other bad reactions, which will make them less likely to want to have the shots.
Of course, both those things assume that the risks are actually significant numbers-wise, which is hard to tell for several reasons. There's a lot more noise than signal coming from all sides on the subject.